Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 79.968479 88.942437 98.200076 108.441538 119.431438 130.848349 143.583143
2025-01-12 65.813950 78.931865 93.174308 109.690707 128.219919 148.271548 171.515003
2025-01-19 55.493157 70.302790 86.979483 106.959171 130.052351 155.718019 186.206686
2025-01-26 51.065745 67.667819 86.922823 110.592702 138.589162 170.339487 208.750834
2025-02-02 46.936378 64.810435 86.101813 112.879263 145.194124 182.482861 228.296774
2025-02-09 42.816790 61.516550 84.365878 113.723186 149.813104 192.119025 244.822820
2025-02-16 40.675143 60.467894 85.182096 117.507990 157.858501 205.769859 266.128028
2025-02-23 37.855757 58.276524 84.340605 119.045804 163.022932 215.898114 283.233429
2025-03-02 34.045838 54.456916 81.136321 117.344279 163.959135 220.742014 293.865760
2025-03-09 31.004083 51.443247 78.768750 116.518413 165.832774 226.622224 305.698693
2025-03-16 28.563049 49.080927 77.102530 116.459601 168.568933 233.502989 318.743918
2025-03-23 27.527459 48.656036 78.007565 119.774417 175.657569 245.880841 338.713667
2025-03-30 25.736632 47.041705 77.237943 120.864082 179.944200 254.899612 354.779912
2025-04-06 23.932334 45.281989 76.167204 121.476248 183.578511 263.117930 369.938048
2025-04-13 21.312558 42.046178 72.783630 118.695856 182.513782 265.149554 377.126995
2025-04-20 20.776519 42.079270 74.145212 122.574861 190.468693 278.964461 399.528947
2025-04-27 19.903254 41.493427 74.537399 125.045094 196.503202 290.302854 418.824485
2025-05-04 18.696658 40.261544 73.882439 125.951754 200.356991 298.771828 434.447727
2025-05-11 18.348560 40.460422 75.399847 130.024792 208.638817 313.183761 457.937094
2025-05-18 17.453205 39.642832 75.292906 131.678704 213.532819 323.101581 475.607128
2025-05-25 15.847550 37.442644 72.905803 129.848615 213.440205 326.277444 484.383995
2025-06-01 14.569019 35.730990 71.203124 128.960142 214.618724 331.131202 495.375395
2025-06-08 13.551473 34.423367 70.083834 128.896869 216.938712 337.522746 508.433193